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Friday, April 28, 2017

Winter's Last Stand?

After a warm February, a warm March, April looks to wrap up with a shot for snow across parts of the Upper Midwest. High pressure to the north will usher in cool and dry air from the Canada, This feature will set up an ideal thermo environment for Mid-Spring snow around these parts. Coupled with a strong area of low pressure coming in from the south and west, confidence is increasing that someone will see several inches of snow Sunday or Monday. A safe bet for 6"+ of snow will be across Colorado into western Nebraska. The storm will then push north and east towards Wisconsin. As it takes this path, more cold air will be brought down from Canada, allowing for the likelihood of more snow in northern Minnesota. What happens in between is the question, but there certainly is a chance of at least a few inches of snow. Nonetheless, temperatures look to stay on the cool side through early May. However, there is a light at the end of the tunnel. Temperatures look to rebound by May 5th in the Plains, May 6th in the Upper Midwest, and May 7th in the Great Lakes.


Monday, February 20, 2017

Significant Winter Storm Expected Friday

After a stretch of 5-8 days of well above normal temperatures and widespread record highs, confidence is increasing in a large winter storm come Friday. Computer models have latched on to this idea for several days and the question of "If" is becoming more of a "Where and When." Being 5 days out the exact location and amounts are unclear, but it is starting to look like an axis from northern Iowa through northern Wisconsin has the best shot for 6"+ of snow.

An upper level trough is expected to swing into the northern Plains late week, allowing for the ushering in of colder air from the north. The anticipated storm system will track along this boundary of cold to warmer air, taking it into the Midwest by Friday. Furthermore, a deepening of the low pressure and a high pressure to the north and west will act to increase winds on the back side of the system Friday night into Saturday. It is not impossible for some locations to reach blizzard criteria Friday night. Lots to work out in the next few days, feel free to follow on Twitter and 'like' on Facebook for more frequent updates.

We are also likely headed into a more active wintry pattern, with a couple chances for larger winter storms through early March, stay tuned!

Here is one model's take on the coming storm. Powered by Pivotal Weather.


Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Large Winter Storm to Unleash Bitter Cold

It has been a relatively quiet and tranquil weather pattern across the Midwest lately, with the exception of a few snow makers. The atmosphere is becoming prime to support a larger winter storm with a benchmark track of widespread 6"+ snowfall. Computer models are now coming into agreement of the idea that an area of low pressure will emerge from the Rocky Mountains on Tuesday and press east or northeast through Wednesday. Right now it is way too early to discuss who sees the accumulating snow. Some models take the low through Chicago and some take it through Minneapolis. The impact on where the snow will fall, based on the track, is profound. Expect snow to pile up 50-100 miles northwest to the track of low pressure. Computer model ensembles are further northwest, but the trend had been further southeast. There is a lot to work out over the next several days, but one thing is becoming more clear...the potential for a long swath of 6"+ of snow is increasingly likely. Nevertheless, it does appear that cold air will filter down behind this system, with below normal temperatures for the entire Midwest by mid-next week.


Monday, January 23, 2017

Accumulating Snow Expected To Develop Tonight

Light to moderate snow is expected to develop over the northern Plains later tonight into Tuesday. The snow will linger into Wednesday for parts of the Upper Midwest. This system will deepen tonight, then weaken as it passes to the east over the next couple days. Consequently, the heaviest snowfall will stay in western sections of the region, across South Dakota, but a solid 3-7" of snow will set up east towards Wisconsin. Total snow of 4-5" amounts will be common, but a narrow band of up to 7-8" will fall where the more persistent snow bands line up. Questions still arrive in how much rain and sleet will mix in across southeastern Wisconsin, with a lot of snow coming during the day for much of Wisconsin, snow accumulation on pavements will be somewhat limited, as grassy surfaces will pick up more snow. Below is the total snowfall you can expect over the next couple day, with slightly less on roadways for those that see more snow during the day, as temperatures will hover around freezing. Be sure to follow on Twitter and Facebook for more weather tidbits and updates. 



Sunday, January 22, 2017

Accumulating Snow Returns To Midwest Early Week

An area of low pressure will emerge from the Rocky Mountains into Colorado Monday and move through the Midwest during the first half of the work week. Limited upper level dynamics will keep from a widespread 6"+ snow these tracks often seem to lay down as the low pressure will hold its strength or weaken a touch as it pushes east through Tuesday and Wednesday. The heaviest snows look to occur in South Dakota, trickling off to a few inches further east across the Great Lakes. A more detailed snow map will be released tomorrow morning/afternoon.